THE WEEKLY BOARD

Find your
game-day edge.

Compare Elo-enhanced predicted spreads with current sportsbook lines and see qualifying model-backed picks.

CURRENT SLATE Loading week… FBS · REGULAR SEASON

MATCHUPS — with complete team stats

MARKET LINES — posted by a listed sportsbook

LARGEST SPREAD DIFFERENCE — compared with the market

DATA REFRESHED — at the latest site build

PREDICTED SPREADS & MARKET LINES

The matchup board.

Loading this week’s matchups…

OPEN BOOK MODEL

No black box.
Just the math.

Four season averages are blended with Elo ratings built from completed FBS results.

01

Team scoring pace

Offensive points per play × offensive plays per game

×

02

Opponent scoring pace

Opponent points per play × opponent plays per game

×

03

Team scoring estimate

Average of the team’s pace and its opponent’s pace allowed

÷ 2

04

Elo margin

(Home Elo − away Elo) ÷ 25; ratings start at 1500 and update from completed FBS results (K = 20)

÷ 25

05

Predicted margin

Average of the points-per-play margin and Elo margin

÷ 2

BET SIGNAL Recommend a side when the predicted spread differs from the listed line by 3+ points Selections use the displayed sportsbook line; records are informational, not betting advice.

SEASON TRACKER

Recommended bets.

W–L–P: 0–0–0

One latest qualifying pick per game, captured before kickoff. Final scores grade the spread; pushes are tracked separately.

GAME	PICK	LINE	BOOK	RESULT
No qualifying recommendations recorded yet.

BUILT FROM TeamRankings stats ESPN schedule & lines SportsLine odds

Lines prefer FanDuel, then DraftKings, then SportsLine.